UMA

UMA

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Regulation2 min read

Will Casino Lobbying Stall Crypto Prediction Markets? Assessing the Senate Bill Threat

US gaming industry groups are lobbying the Senate to ban sports and casino-style prediction markets within upcoming crypto market structure legislation. This regulatory friction could restrict liquidity and trading volumes for decentralized prediction platforms and their underlying oracle networks.

Regulation2 min read

US Soldier's Polymarket Trial: Will Regulatory Precedents Subdue Prediction Market Liquidity?

Active-duty U.S. Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke faces a December trial for alleged insider trading on Polymarket using classified intelligence. As the first federal case of its kind, the outcome could establish CFTC jurisdiction over prediction markets, potentially dampening platform liquidity and trading volumes.